
Chinese General Practice ›› 2026, Vol. 29 ›› Issue (19): 2735-2743.DOI: 10.12114/j.issn.1007-9572.2025.0553
Special Issue: 呼吸疾病文章合辑
• Evidence-based Medicine • Previous Articles Next Articles
Received:2025-09-15
Revised:2026-04-20
Published:2026-07-05
Online:2026-06-05
Contact:
WANG Huaqi
通讯作者:
王华启
作者简介:作者贡献:
张文博负责研究构思与设计、研究资料的收集和整理、论文初稿编撰;王骏龙、张玉萍负责数据的提取、数据质量评价和论文整体内容修改完善;蒋帅、王华启负责研究的协调与指导、整体研究方案的制订与优化,确保研究方向的科学性和可行性,对稿件整体负责。
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URL: https://www.chinagp.net/EN/10.12114/j.issn.1007-9572.2025.0553
| 第一作者(年份) | 地区/国家 | 研究类型 | 慢阻肺病前期 | 对照组 | 样本量(例) | 平均年龄(岁) | 随访时间(年) | 指标 | 效应量 | 95%置信区间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vestbo(2002)[ | 丹麦哥本哈根 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 慢性咳嗽 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 11 207 | 51.7 | 15 | NOCB | 1.2 | 0.9~1.6 |
| Lindberg(2005)[ | 瑞典北部 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 慢性进行性咳嗽 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 939 | - | 10 | NOCB | 1.8 | 1.23~2.63 |
| Allinson(2016)[ | 英格兰/苏格兰/威尔士 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 慢性气道分泌物增加 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥LLN | 1 079 | 43 | 17~21 | NOCB | 3.89 | 2.05~7.38 |
| Kalhan(2018)[ | 美国芝加哥 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 支气管炎 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 2 749 | 25.1 | 30 | NOCB | 2.04 | 1.19~3.51 |
| Wu(2021)[ | 中国广东省 | 前瞻性队列研究 | BD前FEV1/FVC<0.7且BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 918 | 58.5 | 1 | 可变性气流受限 | 3.22 | 2.23~4.64 |
| Buhr(2022)[ | SPIROMICS队列(美国) | 前瞻性队列研究 | BD前FEV1/FVC<0.7且BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 778 | 61.3 | 3 | 可变性气流受限 | 6.2 | 4.62~8.33 |
| Tan(2024)[ | 塔斯马尼亚(澳大利亚) | 前瞻性队列研究 | BD前FEV1/FVC<第10百分位数(0.69,SD=0.031) | BD后FEV1/FVC≥LLN | 801 | 44.8 | 8.3 | FEV1/FVC | 35.8 | 8.89~144.16 |
| Harvey(2015)[ | 美国纽约 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 正常的肺功能检查合并低弥散能力(<80%预测值) | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 105 | 45~46 | 7 | DLCO | 6.40 | 1.32~30.99 |
| Yee(2022)[ | SPIROMICS队列(美国) | 前瞻性队列研究 | FEV3/FEV6<LLN而FEV1/FVC正常 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 832 | H:57.1 N:60.5 | 4 | FEV3/FEV6 | 2.11 | 1.48~3.03 |
| Wan(2021)[ | 美国 | 前瞻性队列研究 | FEV1/FVC≥ 0.7而FEV1 < 80%预计值 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 1 069 | 57.3 | 5 | PRISm | 3.09 | 2.09~4.57 |
| BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 1 030 | 62.3 | 1.94 | 1.34~2.81 | ||||||
| Kogo(2022)[ | 美国 | 前瞻性队列研究 | FEV1/FVC≥ 0.7且FEV1 < 80%预计值 | FEV1/FVC≥70% | 5 086 | H:62 N:59 | 5 | PRISm | 2.17 | 1.73~2.72 |
| BD前FEV1/FVC<第5百分位数(0.72,SD=0.01) | H:62 N:49 | FEV1/FVC | 4.61 | 3.01~7.07 | ||||||
| Divo(2023)[ | 洛夫莱斯吸烟者队列 | 回顾性队列研究 | BD前FEV1/FVC < 0.75 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 830 | H:58 N:53 | 6.3 | FEV1/FVC | 15.32 | 9.14~25.68 |
| 持续咳嗽和咳痰>3个月,至少持续2年 | NOCB | 1.87 | 1.09~3.21 | |||||||
| Fan(2024)[ | 中国 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 慢性咳嗽>4次/d以及咳痰>2次/d,持续时间>4 d,每年>3个月 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 3 529 | H:59.7 N:54.1 | 3.59 | NOCB | 2.84 | 1.38~5.84 |
| FEV1/FVC≥ 0.7且FEV1 < 80%预计值 | PRISm | 1.57 | 1.03~2.40 | |||||||
| Park(2018)[ | 韩国 | 前瞻性队列研究 | FEV1/FVC≥ 0.7且FEV1 < 80%预计值 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 1 979 | H:56.0 N:54.6 | 3 | PRISm | 3.87 | 2.01 ~7.46 |
| Tan(2024)[ | 澳大利亚 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 正常的肺功能检查合并低DLCO (<80%预测值) | BD后FEV1/FVC≥LLN | 266 | H:56.6 N:53.6 | 2.3 | DLCO | 2.97 | 0.81~10.90 |
| de Marco(2007)[ | 欧洲12国 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 慢性咳嗽、咳痰 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 4 933 | 20~44 | 8.9 | NOCB | 1.85 | 1.17~2.93 |
| Guerra(2009)[ | 美国图森 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 慢性支气管炎 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 1 412 | 49.1 | 22 | NOCB | 1.37 | 0.98~1.92 |
| Yamane(2010)[ | 日本广岛 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 持续咳嗽和咳痰>3个月,至少持续2年 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 783 | 49.6 | 2.8 | NOCB | 4.53 | 1.72~11.93 |
| Probst-Hensch (2010)[ | 瑞士 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 持续咳嗽和咳痰>3个月,至少持续2年 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 765 | — | 11 | NOCB | 1.23 | 1.00~1.51 |
| Balte(2020)[ | 美国 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 持续咳嗽和咳痰>3个月,至少持续2年 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 22 325 | 53 | 9.8 | NOCB | 1.20 | 0.87~1.65 |
| Perez-Padilla(2023)[ | 拉丁美洲 | 前瞻性队列研究 | FEV1/FVC≥0.7而FEV1<80%预计值 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 1 723 | 55.1 | 5.9 | PRISm | 2.51 | 1.43~4.40 |
| Zheng(2023)[ | 欧洲 | 前瞻性队列研究 | FEV1/FVC≥0.7而FEV1 <80%预计值 | FEV1/FVC≥70% | 19 987 | H:54.5 N:54.2 | 6 | PRISm | 1.37 | 1.19~1.58 |
| Jo(2024)[ | 韩国 | 前瞻性队列研究 | FEV1/FVC≥0.7而FEV1<80%预计值 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 3 607 | 49.8 | 12 | PRISm | 5.36 | 2.79~10.29 |
Table 1 Basic characteristics of included articles
| 第一作者(年份) | 地区/国家 | 研究类型 | 慢阻肺病前期 | 对照组 | 样本量(例) | 平均年龄(岁) | 随访时间(年) | 指标 | 效应量 | 95%置信区间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vestbo(2002)[ | 丹麦哥本哈根 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 慢性咳嗽 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 11 207 | 51.7 | 15 | NOCB | 1.2 | 0.9~1.6 |
| Lindberg(2005)[ | 瑞典北部 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 慢性进行性咳嗽 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 939 | - | 10 | NOCB | 1.8 | 1.23~2.63 |
| Allinson(2016)[ | 英格兰/苏格兰/威尔士 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 慢性气道分泌物增加 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥LLN | 1 079 | 43 | 17~21 | NOCB | 3.89 | 2.05~7.38 |
| Kalhan(2018)[ | 美国芝加哥 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 支气管炎 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 2 749 | 25.1 | 30 | NOCB | 2.04 | 1.19~3.51 |
| Wu(2021)[ | 中国广东省 | 前瞻性队列研究 | BD前FEV1/FVC<0.7且BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 918 | 58.5 | 1 | 可变性气流受限 | 3.22 | 2.23~4.64 |
| Buhr(2022)[ | SPIROMICS队列(美国) | 前瞻性队列研究 | BD前FEV1/FVC<0.7且BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 778 | 61.3 | 3 | 可变性气流受限 | 6.2 | 4.62~8.33 |
| Tan(2024)[ | 塔斯马尼亚(澳大利亚) | 前瞻性队列研究 | BD前FEV1/FVC<第10百分位数(0.69,SD=0.031) | BD后FEV1/FVC≥LLN | 801 | 44.8 | 8.3 | FEV1/FVC | 35.8 | 8.89~144.16 |
| Harvey(2015)[ | 美国纽约 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 正常的肺功能检查合并低弥散能力(<80%预测值) | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 105 | 45~46 | 7 | DLCO | 6.40 | 1.32~30.99 |
| Yee(2022)[ | SPIROMICS队列(美国) | 前瞻性队列研究 | FEV3/FEV6<LLN而FEV1/FVC正常 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 832 | H:57.1 N:60.5 | 4 | FEV3/FEV6 | 2.11 | 1.48~3.03 |
| Wan(2021)[ | 美国 | 前瞻性队列研究 | FEV1/FVC≥ 0.7而FEV1 < 80%预计值 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 1 069 | 57.3 | 5 | PRISm | 3.09 | 2.09~4.57 |
| BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 1 030 | 62.3 | 1.94 | 1.34~2.81 | ||||||
| Kogo(2022)[ | 美国 | 前瞻性队列研究 | FEV1/FVC≥ 0.7且FEV1 < 80%预计值 | FEV1/FVC≥70% | 5 086 | H:62 N:59 | 5 | PRISm | 2.17 | 1.73~2.72 |
| BD前FEV1/FVC<第5百分位数(0.72,SD=0.01) | H:62 N:49 | FEV1/FVC | 4.61 | 3.01~7.07 | ||||||
| Divo(2023)[ | 洛夫莱斯吸烟者队列 | 回顾性队列研究 | BD前FEV1/FVC < 0.75 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 830 | H:58 N:53 | 6.3 | FEV1/FVC | 15.32 | 9.14~25.68 |
| 持续咳嗽和咳痰>3个月,至少持续2年 | NOCB | 1.87 | 1.09~3.21 | |||||||
| Fan(2024)[ | 中国 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 慢性咳嗽>4次/d以及咳痰>2次/d,持续时间>4 d,每年>3个月 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 3 529 | H:59.7 N:54.1 | 3.59 | NOCB | 2.84 | 1.38~5.84 |
| FEV1/FVC≥ 0.7且FEV1 < 80%预计值 | PRISm | 1.57 | 1.03~2.40 | |||||||
| Park(2018)[ | 韩国 | 前瞻性队列研究 | FEV1/FVC≥ 0.7且FEV1 < 80%预计值 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 1 979 | H:56.0 N:54.6 | 3 | PRISm | 3.87 | 2.01 ~7.46 |
| Tan(2024)[ | 澳大利亚 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 正常的肺功能检查合并低DLCO (<80%预测值) | BD后FEV1/FVC≥LLN | 266 | H:56.6 N:53.6 | 2.3 | DLCO | 2.97 | 0.81~10.90 |
| de Marco(2007)[ | 欧洲12国 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 慢性咳嗽、咳痰 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 4 933 | 20~44 | 8.9 | NOCB | 1.85 | 1.17~2.93 |
| Guerra(2009)[ | 美国图森 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 慢性支气管炎 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 1 412 | 49.1 | 22 | NOCB | 1.37 | 0.98~1.92 |
| Yamane(2010)[ | 日本广岛 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 持续咳嗽和咳痰>3个月,至少持续2年 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 783 | 49.6 | 2.8 | NOCB | 4.53 | 1.72~11.93 |
| Probst-Hensch (2010)[ | 瑞士 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 持续咳嗽和咳痰>3个月,至少持续2年 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 765 | — | 11 | NOCB | 1.23 | 1.00~1.51 |
| Balte(2020)[ | 美国 | 前瞻性队列研究 | 持续咳嗽和咳痰>3个月,至少持续2年 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 22 325 | 53 | 9.8 | NOCB | 1.20 | 0.87~1.65 |
| Perez-Padilla(2023)[ | 拉丁美洲 | 前瞻性队列研究 | FEV1/FVC≥0.7而FEV1<80%预计值 | BD后FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 1 723 | 55.1 | 5.9 | PRISm | 2.51 | 1.43~4.40 |
| Zheng(2023)[ | 欧洲 | 前瞻性队列研究 | FEV1/FVC≥0.7而FEV1 <80%预计值 | FEV1/FVC≥70% | 19 987 | H:54.5 N:54.2 | 6 | PRISm | 1.37 | 1.19~1.58 |
| Jo(2024)[ | 韩国 | 前瞻性队列研究 | FEV1/FVC≥0.7而FEV1<80%预计值 | BD前FEV1/FVC≥0.7 | 3 607 | 49.8 | 12 | PRISm | 5.36 | 2.79~10.29 |
| 第一作者(年份) | 研究对象选择 | 组间可比性 | 结果测量 | 质量(总分) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 暴露组的代表性 | 非暴露组代表性 | 暴露因素的确定 | 结局指标 | 结局指标评价 | 随访时间 | 完整性 | |||
| Vestbo(2002) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Lindberg(2005) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Allinson(2016) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Kalhan(2018) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Divo(2023) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(7) |
| Fan(2024) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| de Marco(2007) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Guerra(2009) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Yamane(2010) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Fair(6) |
| Probst-Hensch(2010) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Tan(2024) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Balte(2020) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Wan(2022)(1) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Wan(2021)(2) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Kogo(2022) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Park(2018) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Tan(2024) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Perez-Padilla(2023) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Buhr(2022) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Harvey(2015) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(7) |
| Yee(2022) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Wu(2021) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Zheng(2023) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Jo(2024) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
Table 2 Newcastle-Ottawa Scale scores and quality assessment of all studies included
| 第一作者(年份) | 研究对象选择 | 组间可比性 | 结果测量 | 质量(总分) | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 暴露组的代表性 | 非暴露组代表性 | 暴露因素的确定 | 结局指标 | 结局指标评价 | 随访时间 | 完整性 | |||
| Vestbo(2002) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Lindberg(2005) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Allinson(2016) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Kalhan(2018) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Divo(2023) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(7) |
| Fan(2024) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| de Marco(2007) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Guerra(2009) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Yamane(2010) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Fair(6) |
| Probst-Hensch(2010) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Tan(2024) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Balte(2020) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Wan(2022)(1) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Wan(2021)(2) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Kogo(2022) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Park(2018) | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Tan(2024) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Perez-Padilla(2023) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Buhr(2022) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Harvey(2015) | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(7) |
| Yee(2022) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
| Wu(2021) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Zheng(2023) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(9) |
| Jo(2024) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | Good(8) |
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