There exists the practical dilemma of uneven distribution of high-quality medical resources and uncoordinated regional development among the six central provinces in China.

The objective of this study is to explore the temporal characteristics, spatial effects, spatial correlation patterns, and dynamic evolution laws of the coordinated development of high-quality medical resources and the economy and society in the six central provinces of China from 2013 to 2023. The findings of this study will provide a scientific reference basis for the promotion of synergistic and orderly development of medical and healthcare undertakings and the economy and society.

The data of this study were sourced from the China Statistical Yearbook (2014-2024), the China Health and Family Planning Statistical Yearbook (2014-2017), and the China Health Statistics Yearbook (2018-2024). The present study introduced the theory of coupling coordination and constructs a "time + space" two-dimensional dynamic coupling coordination degree model. The spatial correlation analysis method was then employed to thoroughly examine the spatial and temporal evolution of the coupling coordination level of China's healthcare resource allocation and the economy and society from 2013 to 2023. Utilizing the gray prediction model, the subsequent section aims to dynamically predict the future development of the coupling and coordination level in the central region of China from 2024 to 2028.

From a chronological perspective, from 2013 to 2023, the coupling and coordination degree of quality medical resources and economic and social economy exhibited a stepwise rise, though significant regional differentiation was observed, with only Jiangxi and Henan entering the stage of barely coordinated by 2023 (D=0.507, 0.512), and the remaining provinces are exhibiting imminent dysfunctionality (D<0.500). From a spatial perspective, the quality of medical care in central China and the economic and social coupling; From a spatial perspective, the level of coordination between quality healthcare and economic and social coupling in central China exhibits an imbalanced characteristic of "point-like breakthrough, piecewise lag". In terms of future forecasts, the coupling coordination degree of the six central provinces is expected to undergo a rapid escalation from 2024 to 2028, reaching a high-quality coordination level in general by 2026 (D=1.000).

The enhancement of the coordination between quality medical resources and economic and social coupling in the six central provinces of China is a systematic project, which necessitates the consideration of spatial and temporal differences, policy synergy, and mechanism innovation. In the future, it is imperative to adopt a multifaceted approach guided by the principles of "balanced, intelligent, and coordinated" and to promote the modernization of health governance through the optimization of resource allocation, the strengthening of regional linkage, and the deepening of institutional innovation. This comprehensive strategy is expected to provide a practical paradigm for the implementation of the Healthy China Strategy in the central region.