Chinese General Practice ›› 2023, Vol. 26 ›› Issue (04): 417-425.DOI: 10.12114/j.issn.1007-9572.2022.0612
• Original Research·Focus on Population Health • Previous Articles Next Articles
Received:
2022-08-17
Revised:
2022-11-14
Published:
2023-02-05
Online:
2022-12-12
Contact:
YAO Weiguang
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通讯作者:
姚卫光
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URL: https://www.chinagp.net/EN/10.12114/j.issn.1007-9572.2022.0612
年份(年) | 伤寒与副伤寒 | 病毒性肝炎 | 痢疾 | 总发病例数(例) | 总发病率(1/105) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
发病例数(例) | 发病率(1/105) | 发病例数(例) | 发病率(1/105) | 发病例数(例) | 发病率(1/105) | |||
2008 | 15 641 | 1.18 | 129 649 | 9.81 | 312 522 | 23.65 | 457 812 | 34.65 |
2009 | 16 938 | 1.28 | 113 564 | 8.55 | 271 551 | 20.45 | 402 053 | 30.27 |
2010 | 14 041 | 1.05 | 104 361 | 7.82 | 252 248 | 18.90 | 370 650 | 27.77 |
2011 | 11 798 | 0.88 | 105 137 | 7.84 | 237 930 | 17.74 | 354 865 | 26.46 |
2012 | 11 998 | 0.89 | 92 092 | 6.84 | 207 429 | 15.40 | 311 519 | 23.12 |
2013 | 14 136 | 1.04 | 85 743 | 6.33 | 188 669 | 13.93 | 288 548 | 21.31 |
2014 | 13 768 | 1.02 | 84 516 | 6.24 | 153 585 | 11.33 | 251 869 | 18.59 |
2015 | 11 637 | 0.85 | 76 834 | 5.64 | 138 917 | 10.20 | 227 388 | 16.69 |
2016 | 10 899 | 0.80 | 71 968 | 5.25 | 123 283 | 8.99 | 206 150 | 15.04 |
2017 | 10 791 | 0.78 | 67 173 | 4.87 | 109 368 | 7.93 | 187 332 | 13.58 |
2018 | 10 843 | 0.78 | 60 299 | 4.34 | 91 152 | 6.56 | 162 294 | 11.68 |
变化率(%) | — | -33.90 | — | -55.76 | — | -72.26 | — | -66.29 |
χ2趋势值 | — | 9.688 | — | 7.043 | — | 9.863 | — | 9.861 |
P值 | — | 0.002 | — | 0.008 | — | 0.002 | — | 0.002 |
Table 1 Overview of reported incidence of types A and B intestinal infectious diseases in China,2008—2018
年份(年) | 伤寒与副伤寒 | 病毒性肝炎 | 痢疾 | 总发病例数(例) | 总发病率(1/105) | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
发病例数(例) | 发病率(1/105) | 发病例数(例) | 发病率(1/105) | 发病例数(例) | 发病率(1/105) | |||
2008 | 15 641 | 1.18 | 129 649 | 9.81 | 312 522 | 23.65 | 457 812 | 34.65 |
2009 | 16 938 | 1.28 | 113 564 | 8.55 | 271 551 | 20.45 | 402 053 | 30.27 |
2010 | 14 041 | 1.05 | 104 361 | 7.82 | 252 248 | 18.90 | 370 650 | 27.77 |
2011 | 11 798 | 0.88 | 105 137 | 7.84 | 237 930 | 17.74 | 354 865 | 26.46 |
2012 | 11 998 | 0.89 | 92 092 | 6.84 | 207 429 | 15.40 | 311 519 | 23.12 |
2013 | 14 136 | 1.04 | 85 743 | 6.33 | 188 669 | 13.93 | 288 548 | 21.31 |
2014 | 13 768 | 1.02 | 84 516 | 6.24 | 153 585 | 11.33 | 251 869 | 18.59 |
2015 | 11 637 | 0.85 | 76 834 | 5.64 | 138 917 | 10.20 | 227 388 | 16.69 |
2016 | 10 899 | 0.80 | 71 968 | 5.25 | 123 283 | 8.99 | 206 150 | 15.04 |
2017 | 10 791 | 0.78 | 67 173 | 4.87 | 109 368 | 7.93 | 187 332 | 13.58 |
2018 | 10 843 | 0.78 | 60 299 | 4.34 | 91 152 | 6.56 | 162 294 | 11.68 |
变化率(%) | — | -33.90 | — | -55.76 | — | -72.26 | — | -66.29 |
χ2趋势值 | — | 9.688 | — | 7.043 | — | 9.863 | — | 9.861 |
P值 | — | 0.002 | — | 0.008 | — | 0.002 | — | 0.002 |
Figure 2 Spatial distribution of the incidence of types A and B intestinal infectious diseases in China(except for Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan)in 2008,2013 and 2018
年份(年) | 伤寒与副伤寒 | 病毒性肝炎 | 痢疾 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
全局Moran's I值 | Z值 | P值 | 全局Moran's I值 | Z值 | P值 | 全局Moran's I值 | Z值 | P值 | |
2008 | 0.15 | 2.960 | 0.003 | 0.24 | 3.510 | <0.001 | 0.20 | 3.387 | 0.001 |
2009 | 0.13 | 2.910 | 0.004 | 0.24 | 3.590 | <0.001 | 0.18 | 3.191 | 0.001 |
2010 | 0.11 | 2.605 | 0.009 | 0.17 | 2.855 | 0.004 | 0.19 | 3.622 | <0.001 |
2011 | 0.13 | 3.137 | 0.002 | 0.20 | 3.057 | 0.002 | 0.24 | 3.886 | <0.001 |
2012 | 0.11 | 3.158 | 0.002 | 0.19 | 3.064 | 0.002 | 0.24 | 3.734 | <0.001 |
2013 | 0.10 | 2.604 | 0.009 | 0.16 | 2.618 | 0.009 | 0.22 | 3.536 | <0.001 |
2014 | 0.06 | 1.921 | 0.055 | 0.09 | 1.996 | 0.046 | 0.24 | 3.801 | <0.001 |
2015 | 0.13 | 2.942 | 0.003 | 0.15 | 2.638 | 0.008 | 0.23 | 3.743 | <0.001 |
2016 | 0.18 | 3.300 | 0.001 | 0.07 | 1.521 | 0.128 | 0.23 | 3.707 | <0.001 |
2017 | 0.19 | 3.425 | <0.001 | 0.13 | 2.155 | 0.031 | 0.22 | 3.628 | <0.001 |
2018 | 0.22 | 3.654 | <0.001 | 0.19 | 2.864 | 0.004 | 0.17 | 3.166 | 0.001 |
Table 2 Global spatial autocorrelation analysis of the incidence of typhoid and paratyphoid,viral hepatitis and dysentery in China,2008—2018
年份(年) | 伤寒与副伤寒 | 病毒性肝炎 | 痢疾 | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
全局Moran's I值 | Z值 | P值 | 全局Moran's I值 | Z值 | P值 | 全局Moran's I值 | Z值 | P值 | |
2008 | 0.15 | 2.960 | 0.003 | 0.24 | 3.510 | <0.001 | 0.20 | 3.387 | 0.001 |
2009 | 0.13 | 2.910 | 0.004 | 0.24 | 3.590 | <0.001 | 0.18 | 3.191 | 0.001 |
2010 | 0.11 | 2.605 | 0.009 | 0.17 | 2.855 | 0.004 | 0.19 | 3.622 | <0.001 |
2011 | 0.13 | 3.137 | 0.002 | 0.20 | 3.057 | 0.002 | 0.24 | 3.886 | <0.001 |
2012 | 0.11 | 3.158 | 0.002 | 0.19 | 3.064 | 0.002 | 0.24 | 3.734 | <0.001 |
2013 | 0.10 | 2.604 | 0.009 | 0.16 | 2.618 | 0.009 | 0.22 | 3.536 | <0.001 |
2014 | 0.06 | 1.921 | 0.055 | 0.09 | 1.996 | 0.046 | 0.24 | 3.801 | <0.001 |
2015 | 0.13 | 2.942 | 0.003 | 0.15 | 2.638 | 0.008 | 0.23 | 3.743 | <0.001 |
2016 | 0.18 | 3.300 | 0.001 | 0.07 | 1.521 | 0.128 | 0.23 | 3.707 | <0.001 |
2017 | 0.19 | 3.425 | <0.001 | 0.13 | 2.155 | 0.031 | 0.22 | 3.628 | <0.001 |
2018 | 0.22 | 3.654 | <0.001 | 0.19 | 2.864 | 0.004 | 0.17 | 3.166 | 0.001 |
Figure 3 LISA clustering maps of the incidence of types A and B intestinal infectious diseases in China(except for Hong Kong,Macao and Taiwan)in 2008,2013 and 2018
类别 | 聚集时间(年) | 聚集中心〔扫描半径(km)〕 | 涉及省份数(个) | 实际发病例数(例) | 预期发病例数(例) | RR值 | LLR | P值 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
伤寒与副伤寒 | 2009—2013 | 云南省(0) | 1 | 23 375 | 2 213.53 | 12.44 | 35 618.36 | <0.001 |
病毒性肝炎 | 2008—2011 | 西藏自治区(1 679.46) | 9a | 122 748 | 68 208.18 | 1.91 | 19 226.94 | <0.001 |
痢疾 | 2008—2012 | 北京市(108.31) | 2b | 152 409 | 21 499.05 | 7.57 | 171 831.80 | <0.001 |
Table 3 Results of year-by-year spatio-temporal scan statistics of types A and B intestinal infectious diseases in China,2008—2018(the primary geographic cluster)
类别 | 聚集时间(年) | 聚集中心〔扫描半径(km)〕 | 涉及省份数(个) | 实际发病例数(例) | 预期发病例数(例) | RR值 | LLR | P值 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
伤寒与副伤寒 | 2009—2013 | 云南省(0) | 1 | 23 375 | 2 213.53 | 12.44 | 35 618.36 | <0.001 |
病毒性肝炎 | 2008—2011 | 西藏自治区(1 679.46) | 9a | 122 748 | 68 208.18 | 1.91 | 19 226.94 | <0.001 |
痢疾 | 2008—2012 | 北京市(108.31) | 2b | 152 409 | 21 499.05 | 7.57 | 171 831.80 | <0.001 |
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