
Chinese General Practice ›› 2025, Vol. 28 ›› Issue (24): 3072-3078.DOI: 10.12114/j.issn.1007-9572.2024.0374
Special Issue: 乳腺癌最新文章合辑
• Review & Perspectives • Previous Articles Next Articles
Received:2024-07-29
Revised:2024-10-24
Published:2025-08-20
Online:2025-06-23
Contact:
XIA Yunlong
通讯作者:
夏云龙
作者简介:作者贡献:
刘银银负责文章的整体构思与设计,参与文献的整理与分析及论文撰写;隋鸿平、李婷婷负责收集与整理文献;姜桐桐、史铁英负责文章的质量控制及审校;夏云龙负责论文的修订、文章的质量控制及审校,对文章整体负责。
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URL: https://www.chinagp.net/EN/10.12114/j.issn.1007-9572.2024.0374
| 第一作者 | 发表年份(年) | 乳腺癌治疗方法(%) | 研究设计 | 建模方法 | 心脏毒性结局指标 | 预测年限(年) | 因子数 | 验证方法 | 模型性能 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUC | C-index | |||||||||
| CHANG[ | 2022 | 蒽环类药物(100%);手术(21.8%);放射治疗(66.8%);曲妥珠单抗(25.6%);5-氟尿嘧啶(8.9%);紫杉醇(15.8%) | ③ | 机器学习算法 | LVEF较基线下降>10%,绝对值<50%;绝对值<40%,并伴CHF症状或体征 | 15 | 内部验证 | 建模组:0.664;验证组:0.890 | ||
| 周彦君[ | 2023 | 蒽环类药物(100%);环磷酰胺(81.2%);曲妥珠单抗(21.3%);紫杉醇(18.9%) | ①④ | Logistic回归 | 非特异性ST-T改变、QRS低电压、QT间期延长;心律失常、心包炎;各房室和束支传导阻滞 | 6 | 内部验证 | 0.870 | ||
| ROMOND[ | 2012 | 阿霉素(100%);环磷酰胺(100%);紫杉醇(100%);曲妥珠单抗(56.0%) | ②③ | Logistic回归 | 诊断为心源性死亡或CHF,表现在日常活动或静息状态下出现呼吸困难,并伴LVEF较基线下降>10%且绝对值<55%或下降>5%且绝对值<50% | 5年 | 2 | 内、外部验证 | 0.720 | |
| SUN[ | 2022 | 脂质体阿霉素(100%)曲妥珠单抗(2.3%);利妥昔单抗(0.8%);多西他赛(3.9%);环磷酰胺(40.5%);卡铂(1.6%);紫杉醇(7.8%) | ②④ | Logistic回归 | LVEF较基线下降>5%,绝对值<55%,并伴CHF症状或体征;LVEF较基线下降>10%,绝对值<55%,无CHF症状或体征;明确诊断为CHF | 4 | 内部验证 | 0.781 | ||
| FOGARASSY[ | 2019 | 表阿霉素(100%);放疗(81.8%);环磷酰胺(80.4%);嘧啶类(54.6%);紫衫烷类(42.4%);顺铂(3.5%);甲氨蝶呤(1.3%);长春花生物碱(0.8%);曲妥珠单抗(18.7%);贝伐单抗(1.3%);拉帕替尼(0.6%) | ②④ | Logistic回归 | 住院期间或尸检被诊断为无明显诱因,单纯治疗性心力衰竭 | 13 | 内部验证 | 0.790 | ||
| 侯磊[ | 2021 | 蒽环类药物(79.6%);曲妥珠单抗(20.6%) | ①④ | Logistic回归 | 美国发布的常见不良反应术语评定标准及我国蒽环类药物心脏毒性防治指南(2013年版)并结合LVEF | 6 | 内部验证 | 0.704 | ||
| ABDEL-QADIR[ | 2019 | 化疗(40.2%);放疗(57.8%) | ②④ | 多因素回归 | 诊断为急性心肌梗死、不稳定型心绞痛、短暂性脑缺血发作、周围血管疾病和CHF | 5、10年 | 11 | 内、外部验证 | 5年:0.819;10年:0.798 | |
| KIM[ | 2022 | 阿霉素(70.7%);曲妥珠单抗(11.9%);放疗(98.2%);手术(99.9%) | ②④ | Cox比例回归 | 诊断为心肌梗死、CHF和短暂性脑缺血发作/卒中 | 3、7年 | 11 | 内部验证 | 建模组:3年(0.715),7年(0.793);验证组:3年(0.876),7年(0.842) | |
Table 1 Basic characteristics of the risk prediction model for cardiotoxicity associated with breast cancer treatment
| 第一作者 | 发表年份(年) | 乳腺癌治疗方法(%) | 研究设计 | 建模方法 | 心脏毒性结局指标 | 预测年限(年) | 因子数 | 验证方法 | 模型性能 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AUC | C-index | |||||||||
| CHANG[ | 2022 | 蒽环类药物(100%);手术(21.8%);放射治疗(66.8%);曲妥珠单抗(25.6%);5-氟尿嘧啶(8.9%);紫杉醇(15.8%) | ③ | 机器学习算法 | LVEF较基线下降>10%,绝对值<50%;绝对值<40%,并伴CHF症状或体征 | 15 | 内部验证 | 建模组:0.664;验证组:0.890 | ||
| 周彦君[ | 2023 | 蒽环类药物(100%);环磷酰胺(81.2%);曲妥珠单抗(21.3%);紫杉醇(18.9%) | ①④ | Logistic回归 | 非特异性ST-T改变、QRS低电压、QT间期延长;心律失常、心包炎;各房室和束支传导阻滞 | 6 | 内部验证 | 0.870 | ||
| ROMOND[ | 2012 | 阿霉素(100%);环磷酰胺(100%);紫杉醇(100%);曲妥珠单抗(56.0%) | ②③ | Logistic回归 | 诊断为心源性死亡或CHF,表现在日常活动或静息状态下出现呼吸困难,并伴LVEF较基线下降>10%且绝对值<55%或下降>5%且绝对值<50% | 5年 | 2 | 内、外部验证 | 0.720 | |
| SUN[ | 2022 | 脂质体阿霉素(100%)曲妥珠单抗(2.3%);利妥昔单抗(0.8%);多西他赛(3.9%);环磷酰胺(40.5%);卡铂(1.6%);紫杉醇(7.8%) | ②④ | Logistic回归 | LVEF较基线下降>5%,绝对值<55%,并伴CHF症状或体征;LVEF较基线下降>10%,绝对值<55%,无CHF症状或体征;明确诊断为CHF | 4 | 内部验证 | 0.781 | ||
| FOGARASSY[ | 2019 | 表阿霉素(100%);放疗(81.8%);环磷酰胺(80.4%);嘧啶类(54.6%);紫衫烷类(42.4%);顺铂(3.5%);甲氨蝶呤(1.3%);长春花生物碱(0.8%);曲妥珠单抗(18.7%);贝伐单抗(1.3%);拉帕替尼(0.6%) | ②④ | Logistic回归 | 住院期间或尸检被诊断为无明显诱因,单纯治疗性心力衰竭 | 13 | 内部验证 | 0.790 | ||
| 侯磊[ | 2021 | 蒽环类药物(79.6%);曲妥珠单抗(20.6%) | ①④ | Logistic回归 | 美国发布的常见不良反应术语评定标准及我国蒽环类药物心脏毒性防治指南(2013年版)并结合LVEF | 6 | 内部验证 | 0.704 | ||
| ABDEL-QADIR[ | 2019 | 化疗(40.2%);放疗(57.8%) | ②④ | 多因素回归 | 诊断为急性心肌梗死、不稳定型心绞痛、短暂性脑缺血发作、周围血管疾病和CHF | 5、10年 | 11 | 内、外部验证 | 5年:0.819;10年:0.798 | |
| KIM[ | 2022 | 阿霉素(70.7%);曲妥珠单抗(11.9%);放疗(98.2%);手术(99.9%) | ②④ | Cox比例回归 | 诊断为心肌梗死、CHF和短暂性脑缺血发作/卒中 | 3、7年 | 11 | 内部验证 | 建模组:3年(0.715),7年(0.793);验证组:3年(0.876),7年(0.842) | |
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