Chinese General Practice ›› 2024, Vol. 27 ›› Issue (35): 4397-4402.DOI: 10.12114/j.issn.1007-9572.2024.0068
• Original Research • Previous Articles Next Articles
Received:
2024-03-10
Revised:
2024-06-10
Published:
2024-12-15
Online:
2024-09-13
Contact:
LI Hong
通讯作者:
李洪
作者简介:
作者贡献:
陈汝满进行论文研究设计、统计学分析、论文撰写及修订;白亚飞、李洪提出研究思路,设计研究方案,参与论文的讨论,负责文章的质量控制及审校;王春莉、安娜、徐明芝、贺纪清、祁永慧、王利恒负责实验实施,数据收集和整理;所有作者确认了论文终稿。
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URL: https://www.chinagp.net/EN/10.12114/j.issn.1007-9572.2024.0068
变量 | AUC | 95%CI | P值 | 灵敏度 | 特异度 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
NLR | 0.743 | 0.669~0.817 | <0.001 | 0.556 | 0.825 |
CAR | 0.710 | 0.627~0.794 | <0.001 | 0.597 | 0.825 |
NLR+CAR | 0.799 | 0.732~0.867 | <0.001 | 0.681 | 0.816 |
Table 1 Predictive value of NLR,CAR,and NLR+CAR for all-cause mortality risk in MHD patients
变量 | AUC | 95%CI | P值 | 灵敏度 | 特异度 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
NLR | 0.743 | 0.669~0.817 | <0.001 | 0.556 | 0.825 |
CAR | 0.710 | 0.627~0.794 | <0.001 | 0.597 | 0.825 |
NLR+CAR | 0.799 | 0.732~0.867 | <0.001 | 0.681 | 0.816 |
变量 | B | SE | Wald χ2值 | P值 | HR(95%CI) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
性别(以女为参照) | |||||
男 | 0.138 | 0.243 | 0.321 | 0.571 | 1.148(0.712~1.85) |
年龄(岁) | 0.043 | 0.008 | 30.998 | <0.001 | 1.044(1.028~1.059) |
透析龄(月) | -0.028 | 0.005 | 38.583 | <0.001 | 0.972(0.963~0.981) |
原发病(以非糖尿病肾病为参照) | |||||
糖尿病肾病 | 1.096 | 0.242 | 20.455 | <0.001 | 2.991(1.861~4.809) |
吸烟史(以否为参照) | |||||
是 | 0.502 | 0.291 | 2.986 | 0.084 | 1.652(0.935~2.921) |
饮酒史(以否为参照) | |||||
是 | 0.663 | 0.465 | 2.039 | 0.153 | 1.942(0.781~4.827) |
冠心病病史(以否为参照) | |||||
是 | 1.169 | 0.252 | 21.493 | <0.001 | 3.220(1.964~5.279) |
脑血管意外病史(以否为参照) | |||||
是 | 1.212 | 0.238 | 25.98 | <0.001 | 3.360(2.108~5.354) |
维持透析通路(以动静脉内瘘为参照) | |||||
以TCC为透析通路 | 1.064 | 0.247 | 18.532 | <0.001 | 2.897(1.785~4.701) |
BMI | -0.024 | 0.041 | 0.347 | 0.556 | 0.976(0.902~1.057) |
WBC | 0.048 | 0.013 | 13.008 | <0.001 | 1.049(1.022~1.076) |
Fer | -0.002 | <0.001 | 34.191 | <0.001 | 0.998(0.998~0.999) |
25-(OH)D | -0.081 | 0.013 | 39.460 | <0.001 | 0.922(0.899~0.946) |
校正Ca2+ | 0.380 | 0.754 | 0.254 | 0.614 | 1.462(0.334~6.402) |
P5+ | -0.598 | 0.299 | 4.014 | 0.045 | 0.550(0.306~0.987) |
PTH | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.211 | 0.646 | 1.000(1.000~1.001) |
ALP | <0.001 | 0.001 | 0.006 | 0.940 | 1.000(0.997~1.002) |
HB | -0.036 | 0.007 | 24.836 | <0.001 | 0.965(0.951~0.979) |
TG | -0.542 | 0.168 | 10.352 | 0.001 | 0.582(0.418~0.809) |
TC | -0.462 | 0.132 | 12.178 | <0.001 | 0.630(0.486~0.817) |
UA | -0.009 | 0.002 | 30.655 | <0.001 | 0.991(0.988~0.994) |
K+ | -0.541 | 0.226 | 5.751 | 0.016 | 0.582(0.374~0.906) |
NLR(以≤4.93为参照) | |||||
>4.93 | 1.280 | 0.239 | 28.740 | <0.001 | 3.598(2.253~5.745) |
CAR(以≤0.795为参照) | |||||
>0.795 | 1.380 | 0.241 | 32.683 | <0.001 | 3.976(2.477~6.383) |
Table 2 Univariate Cox proportional risk regression analisis for 5-year all-cause mortality in MHD patients
变量 | B | SE | Wald χ2值 | P值 | HR(95%CI) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
性别(以女为参照) | |||||
男 | 0.138 | 0.243 | 0.321 | 0.571 | 1.148(0.712~1.85) |
年龄(岁) | 0.043 | 0.008 | 30.998 | <0.001 | 1.044(1.028~1.059) |
透析龄(月) | -0.028 | 0.005 | 38.583 | <0.001 | 0.972(0.963~0.981) |
原发病(以非糖尿病肾病为参照) | |||||
糖尿病肾病 | 1.096 | 0.242 | 20.455 | <0.001 | 2.991(1.861~4.809) |
吸烟史(以否为参照) | |||||
是 | 0.502 | 0.291 | 2.986 | 0.084 | 1.652(0.935~2.921) |
饮酒史(以否为参照) | |||||
是 | 0.663 | 0.465 | 2.039 | 0.153 | 1.942(0.781~4.827) |
冠心病病史(以否为参照) | |||||
是 | 1.169 | 0.252 | 21.493 | <0.001 | 3.220(1.964~5.279) |
脑血管意外病史(以否为参照) | |||||
是 | 1.212 | 0.238 | 25.98 | <0.001 | 3.360(2.108~5.354) |
维持透析通路(以动静脉内瘘为参照) | |||||
以TCC为透析通路 | 1.064 | 0.247 | 18.532 | <0.001 | 2.897(1.785~4.701) |
BMI | -0.024 | 0.041 | 0.347 | 0.556 | 0.976(0.902~1.057) |
WBC | 0.048 | 0.013 | 13.008 | <0.001 | 1.049(1.022~1.076) |
Fer | -0.002 | <0.001 | 34.191 | <0.001 | 0.998(0.998~0.999) |
25-(OH)D | -0.081 | 0.013 | 39.460 | <0.001 | 0.922(0.899~0.946) |
校正Ca2+ | 0.380 | 0.754 | 0.254 | 0.614 | 1.462(0.334~6.402) |
P5+ | -0.598 | 0.299 | 4.014 | 0.045 | 0.550(0.306~0.987) |
PTH | <0.001 | <0.001 | 0.211 | 0.646 | 1.000(1.000~1.001) |
ALP | <0.001 | 0.001 | 0.006 | 0.940 | 1.000(0.997~1.002) |
HB | -0.036 | 0.007 | 24.836 | <0.001 | 0.965(0.951~0.979) |
TG | -0.542 | 0.168 | 10.352 | 0.001 | 0.582(0.418~0.809) |
TC | -0.462 | 0.132 | 12.178 | <0.001 | 0.630(0.486~0.817) |
UA | -0.009 | 0.002 | 30.655 | <0.001 | 0.991(0.988~0.994) |
K+ | -0.541 | 0.226 | 5.751 | 0.016 | 0.582(0.374~0.906) |
NLR(以≤4.93为参照) | |||||
>4.93 | 1.280 | 0.239 | 28.740 | <0.001 | 3.598(2.253~5.745) |
CAR(以≤0.795为参照) | |||||
>0.795 | 1.380 | 0.241 | 32.683 | <0.001 | 3.976(2.477~6.383) |
变量 | B | SE | Wald χ2值 | P值 | HR(95%CI) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
透析龄 | -0.016 | 0.004 | 15.567 | <0.001 | 0.984(0.976~0.992) |
Fer | -0.002 | 0.000 | 22.056 | <0.001 | 0.998(0.998~0.999) |
25-(OH)D | -0.037 | 0.012 | 9.033 | 0.003 | 0.964(0.941~0.987) |
TG | -0.363 | 0.162 | 5.026 | 0.025 | 0.695(0.506~0.955) |
NLR(以≤4.93为参照) | |||||
>4.93 | 0.728 | 0.268 | 7.400 | 0.007 | 2.071(1.226~3.499) |
CAR(以≤0.795为参照) | |||||
>0.795 | 0.643 | 0.255 | 6.376 | 0.012 | 1.903(1.155~3.136) |
Table 3 Multivariate Cox proportional risk regression analisis for 5-year all-cause mortality in MHD patients
变量 | B | SE | Wald χ2值 | P值 | HR(95%CI) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
透析龄 | -0.016 | 0.004 | 15.567 | <0.001 | 0.984(0.976~0.992) |
Fer | -0.002 | 0.000 | 22.056 | <0.001 | 0.998(0.998~0.999) |
25-(OH)D | -0.037 | 0.012 | 9.033 | 0.003 | 0.964(0.941~0.987) |
TG | -0.363 | 0.162 | 5.026 | 0.025 | 0.695(0.506~0.955) |
NLR(以≤4.93为参照) | |||||
>4.93 | 0.728 | 0.268 | 7.400 | 0.007 | 2.071(1.226~3.499) |
CAR(以≤0.795为参照) | |||||
>0.795 | 0.643 | 0.255 | 6.376 | 0.012 | 1.903(1.155~3.136) |
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