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·608· http: //www.chinagp.net E-mail: zgqkyx@chinagp.net.cn February 2023, Vol.26 No.5
张炜宗,袁红,孙金栋,等 . 新型冠状病毒感染患者院内死亡危险因素的 Meta 分析[J]. 中国全科医学,2023,
26(5):607-620. [www.chinagp.net]
ZHANG W Z,YUAN H,SUN J D,et al. Risk factors of in-hospital death in COVID-19 patients:a Meta-analysis[J].
Chinese General Practice,2023,26(5):607-620.
*
Risk Factors of In-hospital Death in COVID-19 Patients:a Meta-analysis ZHANG Weizong,YUAN Hong ,
SUN Jindong,YU Huamin,SHI Mingjuan,HU Haiqiang,HE Haiying,YE Li,ZHANG Huihui,BAI Xinghua,SHEN
Chaofeng,TU Sijia,WANG Yang,WANG Gang,ZHAO Xiaofeng,YU Tao,LI Cairong,ZHANG Zhi,ZHOU Donglai,
CAI Mengyang,NING Le
Cardiovascular Department,First People's Hospital of Linping District,Hangzhou 311100,China
*
Correspongding author:YUAN Hong,Chief physician;E-mail:yuhangyhy@yeah.net
【Abstract】 Background The worldwide COVID-19 pandemic has turned into a global catastrophic public health
crisis,and the conclusion about the risk factors of hospital death in COVID-19 patients is not uniform. Objective To explore
risk factors of in-hospital death in patients with COVID-19 by a meta-analysis. Methods Case-control studies about risk factors
of in-hospital death in COVID-19 patients were searched from databases of the Cochrane Library,ScienceDirect,PubMed,
Medline,Wanfang Data,CNKI and CQVIP from inception to October 1,2021. Literature screening,data extraction and
methodological quality assessment were conducted. Meta-analysis was performed using Stata 15.1. Meta-regression was used to
explore the potential sources of heterogeneity. Results Eighty studies were included which involving 405 157 cases〔349 923
were survivors(86.37%),and 55 234 deaths(13.63%)〕,that were rated as being of high quality by the Newcastle-Ottawa
Scale. Meta-analysis showed that being male〔OR=1.49,95%CI(1.41,1.57),P<0.001),older age〔WMD=10.44,
95%CI(9.79,11.09),P<0.001〕,dyspnoea〔OR=2.09,95%CI(1.80,2.43),P<0.001〕,fatigue〔OR=1.49,
95%CI(1.31,1.69),P<0.001〕,obesity〔OR=1.46,95%CI(1.43,1.50),P<0.001〕,smoking〔OR=1.18,95%CI
(1.14,1.23),P<0.001〕,stroke〔OR=2.26,95%CI(1.41,3.62),P<0.001〕,kidney disease〔OR=3.62,95%CI
(3.26,4.03),P<0.001〕,cardiovascular disease〔OR=2.34,95%CI(2.21,2.47),P<0.001〕,hypertension〔OR=2.23,
95%CI(2.10,2.37),P<0.001〕,diabetes〔OR=1.84,95%CI(1.74,1.94),P<0.001〕,cancer〔OR=1.86,95%CI
(1.69,2.05),P<0.001〕,pulmonary disease〔OR=2.38,95%CI(2.19,2.58),P<0.001〕,liver disease〔OR=1.65,
95%CI(1.36,2.01),P<0.001〕,elevated levels of white blood cell count〔WMD=2.03,95%CI(1.74,2.32),
P<0.001〕,neutrophil count〔WMD=1.77,95%CI(1.49,2.05),P<0.001〕,total bilirubin〔WMD=3.19,95%CI(1.96,
4.42),P<0.001〕,aspartate transaminase〔WMD=13.02,95%CI(11.70,14.34),P<0.001〕,alanine transaminase
〔WMD=2.76,95%CI(1.68,3.85),P<0.001〕,lactate dehydrogenase〔WMD=166.91,95%CI(150.17,183.64),
P<0.001〕,blood urea nitrogen〔WMD=3.11,95%CI(2.61,3.60),P<0.001〕,serum creatinine〔WMD=22.06,95%CI
(19.41,24.72),P<0.001〕,C-reactive protein〔WMD=76.45,95%CI (71.33,81.56),P<0.001〕,interleukin-6
〔WMD=28.21,95%CI(14.98,41.44),P<0.001〕,and erythrocyte sedimentation rate〔WMD=8.48,95%CI(5.79,
11.17),P<0.001〕 were associated with increased risk of in-hospital death for patients with COVID-19,while myalgia〔OR=0.73,
95%CI(0.62,0.85),P<0.001〕,cough〔OR=0.87,95%CI(0.78,0.97),P=0.013〕,vomiting〔OR=0.73,95%CI
(0.54,0.98),P=0.030〕,diarrhoea〔OR=0.79,95%CI(0.69,0.92),P=0.001〕,headache〔OR=0.55,95%CI(0.45,
0.68),P<0.001〕,asthma〔OR=0.73,95%CI(0.69,0.78),P<0.001〕,low body mass index〔WMD=-0.58,95%CI
(-1.10,-0.06),P=0.029〕,decreased lymphocyte count〔WMD=-0.36,95%CI(-0.39,-0.32),P<0.001〕,
decreased platelet count〔WMD=-38.26,95%CI(-44.37,-32.15),P<0.001〕,increased D-dimer〔WMD=0.79,95%CI(0.63,
0.95),P<0.001〕,longer prothrombin time〔WMD=0.78,95%CI(0.61,0.94),P<0.001〕,lower albumin〔WMD
=-1.88,95%CI(-2.35,-1.40),P<0.001〕,increased procalcitonin〔WMD=0.27,95%CI(0.24,0.31),
P<0.001〕,and increased cardiac troponin〔WMD=0.04,95%CI(0.03,0.04),P<0.001〕were associated with decreased
risk of in-hospital death due to COVID-19. According to the meta-regression result,the heterogeneity in gender,renal disease,
cardiovascular diseases,asthma,white blood cell count,neutrophil count,platelet count,hemoglobin,and urea nitrogen
differed siangificnatly by country(P<0.05). Conclusion The risk of in-hospital death due to COVID-19 may be increased by
25 factors(including being male,older age,dyspnoea,fatigue,obesity,smoking,stroke,kidney disease,cardiovascular
disease,hypertension,diabetes,cancer,pulmonary disease,liver disease,elevated levels of white blood cells,neutrophil
count,total bilirubin,aspartate transaminase,alanine transaminase,lactate dehydrogenase,blood urea nitrogen,serum
creatinine,C-reactive protein,interleukin-6,and erythrocyte sedimentation rate),and may be decreased by 13 factors(including